Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 361.154395 409.648570 463.466235 527.835534 603.010564 688.362975 793.078227
2025-10-26 281.027592 342.557439 416.937547 514.305943 639.630883 797.181340 1012.886079
2025-11-02 237.524101 303.427504 387.710767 504.967900 666.371037 884.453668 1207.893758
2025-11-09 215.240650 285.813163 380.401397 518.958553 721.047361 1011.984743 1475.674481
2025-11-16 193.469770 265.119961 364.913597 517.495727 751.179457 1106.421636 1709.430233
2025-11-23 174.681936 245.890208 348.393413 511.063360 771.141798 1186.208273 1932.336176
2025-11-30 161.572335 233.134847 339.343830 513.876035 804.525982 1290.565815 2214.614933
2025-12-07 147.604101 217.512832 324.014387 504.378827 815.620186 1358.039375 2442.486275
2025-12-14 136.847940 205.688438 313.178757 500.508802 835.010103 1441.838542 2716.779814
2025-12-21 124.177811 189.679035 294.040368 480.270469 822.409845 1464.417777 2871.599527
2025-12-28 119.851157 186.652062 295.707268 495.991368 877.027436 1622.603978 3346.148554
2026-01-04 116.756270 185.313111 299.945793 516.561954 943.332844 1814.594452 3942.137846
2026-01-11 110.599547 178.443332 294.265592 518.659741 974.621357 1941.439216 4422.658274
2026-01-18 102.604978 167.807976 281.060882 505.106694 972.375531 1995.683369 4737.064527
2026-01-25 96.061244 159.201127 270.740030 495.979454 978.035462 2068.408157 5119.379202
2026-02-01 93.243096 156.982283 271.871994 509.675524 1034.785598 2270.403672 5919.429754
2026-02-08 88.690503 151.264590 265.947151 508.243527 1057.481224 2393.835797 6527.603895
2026-02-15 83.932269 144.824372 258.109954 501.946372 1068.049782 2488.515896 7076.601127
2026-02-22 80.617022 140.840443 254.692991 504.699959 1100.357914 2646.144169 7883.907116
2026-03-01 76.225042 134.517860 246.171099 495.402037 1102.040508 2721.056743 8432.988994
2026-03-08 72.750350 129.735285 240.376437 491.613030 1117.020882 2836.400805 9170.736452
2026-03-15 67.906067 121.997758 228.040535 471.796560 1088.441822 2820.488973 9406.541077
2026-03-22 66.833367 121.612902 230.808825 487.190026 1154.273907 3100.061368 10927.835087